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Community college enrollment outpaced university enrollment this school year

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Experts explains there are numerous factors for developing trend

Students nationwide are shifting the way they tackle their higher education goals, with more opting for community college as a pathway, according to recently released survey data.

The National Student Clearinghouse Research Center released its Final Fall Enrollment Trends report, which highlighted how growth in undergraduate enrollment was “driven by a 3.0 percent increase in community college enrollment, compared to a 1.4 percent increase at public 4-year colleges.”

What’s more, private 4-year institutions saw declines in undergraduate enrollment this past fall of roughly 2 percent, according to the report, released in mid-January.

National Student Clearinghouse Research Center did not respond to The College Fix’s request for an interview regarding the trend.

Reached for comment, Columbia University’s Community College Research Center senior research assistant Joshua Thomas said he believes that since “community college enrollment is still lower than it was in the 2010s, it will be some time before the trend becomes predominant.

However, he added in his telephone interview with The College Fix, “it does seem like students are shifting towards the lower cost options,” which is a common trend “in times of economic uncertainty or economic downturn.”

He noted that the struggling job market for recent graduates illustrates how economic shifts can influence student decision-making.

Thomas also said he believes more students are choosing community colleges because the schools are making it easier for students to enroll by reducing its costs, improving advising, and simplifying the transfer process.

He added that the job market is also a factor, and community colleges offer a lower risk and a faster return on investment. Another big factor is that there are fewer young people enrolling in higher education today due to demographic popular shifts, he said.

Asked how AI influences young people today when it comes to their education choices, Thomas said it has transformed how society learns and performs tasks, but it’s hard to identify its exact effect on enrollment trends. 

“It’s definitely possible that it kind of reduces the gap between different educational quality,” he said. “It’s a lot easier to get kind of high quality content outside of elite institutions.”

However, even if the material is available, a professor is still needed to best distill the information, he said, noting AI is “nowhere near” the expertise of a very experienced education.

AI is just good at explaining concepts, he said, and added it “can replace, to some degree, how well different tutors or teachers assistants or some professors can explain concepts.” 

Meanwhile, he said that research has shown colleges tend to adapt to changes, such as the job market and AI trends. As education has always changed over time, education in the United States should be willing to make a change too, he said.

Matthew Holsapple, who leads the research team at the National Student Clearinghouse, told MarketWatch that other factors influencing this trend is the rise in short, job-focused certificate programs.

“It speaks to students of all ages seeing the value of those short-term credentials,” Holsapple told MarketWatch. “There’s a wage payoff that students are seeing, and they see this as clear steps towards the career or job they want.”

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